A Protocol for the Elicitation of Imprecise Probabilities

نویسندگان

  • Alane Alves Silva
  • Fernando Campello de Souza
چکیده

A protocol for the elicitation of imprecise probabilities based on linear programming is applied to the case of two continuous variables. Two medical experts were elicited. The resulting convex set of probability distributions was compared with the results obtained by the application of an imprecise Dirichlet model to a database. An indicator is introduced to assess the inferential skill of the medical experts.

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تاریخ انتشار 2005